In this post we take a look at how state’s big reservoirs are faring.  Earlier this year there were claims that they were filling up, as “an outlandish volume” of water poured down on California. Before this however – January through March this year marked the driest winter since record keeping began in the 19th century.

Currently they don’t look good. At least one of the state’s 10 biggest reservoirs — the mammoth New Melones Lake, on the Stanislaus River — may be emptied entirely before next fall’s hoped-for rains. New Melones, which is backed up by a dam of the same name operated by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, supplies water for farmers and cities in the northeastern San Joaquin Valley; some of the water is also used to maintain flows on the Stanislaus for threatened chinook salmon and steelhead.

The situation at New Melones is not unique. Although December’s heavy rains and a handful of big storms since then did bolster supplies at the state’s biggest artificial lakes, Shasta and Oroville, their levels remain far below normal — 72 percent and 61 percent respectively. With the state’s mountain ranges virtually bare of snow, there’s no prospect for spring runoff that would add to those lakes’ supply.

At this point, none of the above really rates as news, and all of us will be living with the consequences in the months to come, and perhaps far longer.

CA started this season’s water-watching in December with an eye to what early winter storms were doing to replenish the state’s critically low water reservoirs. We all know what’s happened since:

A wet December followed by one of the driest Januaries on record.

In February, a couple of nice shots of rain in Northern California, with scant precipitation farther south.

And then March. It’s not one of California’s Big Three months for precipitation. But in 1991, an occasion that water-watchers recall with increasing wistfulness, March produced such a bounty of rain and snow that it’s still known as a miracle.

Now looking back it’s clear we’ll witness no miracle this time. What we’re seeing instead is nothing short of shocking. Our current snowpack, is the lowest on record. And “lowest on record” doesn’t quite convey how extreme the situation really is.

Regardless of what the statistical summaries say about our reservoirs — our big Northern California lakes are still in good shape relative to last year, though far below average for the date — the near-total absence of snow means California, its 38 million people and its giant farm economy are headed into unknown territory.